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Tomorrow, I will be casting my vote for the first time in the national elections. This, in my eyes, have been the most controversial, most discussed one ever since my birth. Since you know already who I am voting for this coming elections, then I won’t waste my time listing them down here as most of the reasons why I am voting for them is similar to each other.

That is why I came up with an idea on trying to predict the Philippine Elections 2010 Results.

For the presidency, a lot of people may be mislead to vote for Noynoy Aquino, the leading candidate. However, it appears to me that his lead which is very apparent in NCR might not translate with the votes in other parts of the country. When people in the province are asked, those with solid party foundations in the local government units lead the roll – something good for the administration bet Gilbert Teodoro and Nacionalista party frontier Manny Villar. With that said, as of the moment, I am expecting a three-way race to the presidency between Noynoy Aquino, Manny Villar and Gibo Teodoro.

With a margin of error of 2%, I made myself a list of probable sharing of votes in each of the regions of the country, just for fun and my list ended up with the following results with Gibo Teodoro possibly lower, as I assumed that the Mindanao votes are on his side along with Manny Villar. Visayas is definitely going for Gibo with almost equal following from Noynoy and Villar. The North vote was also considered – the places known to be in the side of Villar and the NCR and neighboring regions vote which was accounted to Noynoy Aquino.
Aquino, Noynoy – 29.94%
Villar, Manny – 29.16%
Teodoro, Gilbert – 24.60%
Estrada, Erap – 9.44%
Gordon, Dick – 4.78%
Villanueva, Eddie – 2.67%
Madrigal, Jamby – 1.36%
Delos Reyes, JC – 0.22%
Perlas, Nicanor – 0.18%

The work was tedious. This forecasting is very difficult to do. For the Vice-President position, the race is between two candidates Mar Roxas and Jejomar Binay – this boils down to the inclination of the Visayas and Mindanao votes. But for me, the Philippine Elections 2010 Results for Vice-President would be an upset win for Jejomar Binay with a close margin against Mar Roxas.

A lot of factors can affect the 2010 Philippine Elections Results especially for President and Vice-President as this will be the first year for the automated system to get on track. I fear of people losing their rights to vote just because of ignorance. I hope that the Filipinos are well-prepared to vote in this kind of system. I also hope that the Philippine 2010 Elections Results especially for the Vice-President and President positions will be released early and will be transparent enough as this the most crucial decision Filipinos will ever make.

Lastly, I pray that this 2010 Philippine Elections, both local and national levels, would be a peaceful one. Days before this, I was starting to feel bad vibes and possible bloodsheds this coming elections – I hope for safety of all and hopefully, our country will be lead by the best leaders with the true mandate of the Filipino people.

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